“Challenging outlook for international student enrolment in the United States for the 2025/26 academic year”
🔻 Expected Decline in International Students
- Over one-third of US colleges and universities surveyed expect fewer international students to enroll in 2025/26.
- A separate analysis predicts a 7% to 11% drop in enrolment this fall due to visa delays, stricter checks, and policy changes.
⚠️ Main Reasons for the Decline
- Student visa processing issues:
- A three-week pause in visa interview scheduling during peak months (March–June 2025).
- Stricter screening requirements make the process slower and harder.
- 87% of institutions say visa delays or rejections are their top concern.
- Entry and visa uncertainties:
- 69% of institutions worry about students facing issues at US airports or borders.
- 68% are concerned about in-country visa status, including revocations.
- Political and policy disruptions:
- Increased immigration enforcement against students.
- Pressure on elite universities.
- Travel bans affecting students from 19 countries, possibly more soon.
- Revocation of visas for some Chinese students.
📉 Evidence of the Trend
- The IIE (Institute of International Education) surveyed 559 institutions and found more expect a decline across all levels (bachelor’s, master’s, etc.).
- 35% reported fewer applications this year – the highest since COVID-19.
- Visa issuance from Jan–May 2025 dropped by 14% compared to 2024.
- Expert projections suggest 80,000 to 145,000 fewer visa appointments this summer compared to last year.
🎯 Impact Will Vary
- Not all US institutions will be equally affected:
- Some universities may see stable or even increased numbers.
- Smaller or lesser-known schools may feel the decline more sharply.
🔄 How Institutions Are Responding
Many are actively adapting their recruitment strategies:
- More personalized outreach to students.
- Using current students or alumni to connect with prospects.
- Working more closely with educational agents and consultants.
- Exploring new student markets beyond traditional ones.
- Using AI and digital tools to improve marketing and communication.
📌 Summary
Due to increased visa restrictions, political pressure, and administrative delays, US colleges are bracing for a potential decline in international student numbers in 2025/26. While the majority still hope for stability, many are preparing for challenges and adjusting their recruitment tactics accordingly.
📩 Email:info@wacconsultants.com
📞WhatsApp: +92 320 9422666